次季节或季节内到季节预报

链接:https://pan.baidu.com/s/1dIDu4r9sFBFp8x11WxNSPw 密码:🀀🀁🀂🀃

目录如下：

Part I: Setting the scene

1.Introduction: Why S2S?


2.Weather forecasting: What sets the forecast horizon?


3.Weather within Climate: Sub-seasonal predictability of tropical daily rainfall characteristics


4.Identifying wave processes associated with predictability across time scales: An empirical normal mode approach


Part II: Sources of S2S Predictability  

5.The Madden-Julian Oscillation


6.Extratropical sub-seasonal–to–seasonal oscillations and multiple regimes: The dynamical systems view


7.Tropical-Extratropical Interactions and Teleconnections


8.Land surface processes relevant to S2S prediction


9.Midlatitude Meso-scale Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction and Its Relevance to S2S Prediction


10.The role of sea ice in subseasonal predictability


11.Sub-seasonal Predictability and the Stratosphere


Part III: S2S Modeling and Forecasting  

12.Forecast system design, configuration, complexity


13.Ensemble generation: the TIGGE and S2S ensembles


14.GCMs with Full Representation of Cloud Microphysics and Their MJO Simulation


15.Forecast recalibration and multi-model combination


16.Forecast verification for S2S time scales


Part IV: S2S Applications  

17.Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction of Weather Extremes


18.Pilot experiences in using seamless forecasts for early action: Ready-Set-Go approach in the Red Cross


19.Communication and dissemination of forecasts and engaging user communities


20.Seamless prediction of monsoon onset and active/break phases


21.Lessons learned in 25 years informing sectoral decisions with probabilistic climate forecasts


22.Predicting climate impacts on health at sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales